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HO HO-UH OH
Pro-cyclical beliefs had already been under pressure over the past four weeks prior to the decision over the weekend by Senator Joe Machin’s
Dec 20, 20212 min read


Public Enemy: Don't Believe the Hike
A day after the Federal Reserve released its less-hawkish-than-feared revamped forecast profile, the Bank of England delivered a surprising,
Dec 17, 20212 min read


The End of Super-Abundant Liquidity
The prevailing bias among market participants over the past few months has been that an early start to rate hikes would imply a need for les
Dec 16, 20213 min read


On the Highway to Sell (Encore)
The US November CPI data reported on Friday, and the associated market reaction highlights the importance ofthe Highway to Sell (Encore)
Dec 13, 20213 min read


The Shadow
Something that we (and others) have often noted over the past few months is the risk that the US Federal Reserve might be committing a costl
Dec 9, 20213 min read


You Buy What You Want & Sell What You Can
If you want to know where the greatest downside risk exists; follow the leverage. Moreover, there is an intimate link between liquidity, lev
Dec 7, 20213 min read


The Fragility of HOPIUM
The correction in non-profitable technology stocks – or what we like to call “hope at a ridiculous multiple” (HARM) was fairly brutal last w
Dec 6, 20213 min read


The Convexity for Equity in Rates
Equity price action over the past week has been a little spicy. Through most of Wednesday the stock market appeared to look through the omic
Dec 2, 20212 min read


The Emotional Sources of Volatility
If we had to describe our approach in one line it is: to take on the emotional sources of volatility in markets. Stated differently where th
Nov 29, 20213 min read


Loose as a Goose
In Australia, a “goose” is a light hearted term to describe someone who is a bit foolish. A more derogatory term might be a “flaming galah.”
Nov 24, 20213 min read


The Bullish Case for Japan
The path to investment hell is paved with naive overlay charts. That being said, there is a legitimate relationship between the performance
Nov 22, 20213 min read


The Smiling Assassin (The Dollar Smile)
One of the complexities of the foreign exchange market is that the US dollar – as the global reserve currency – can rally in phases of risk
Nov 17, 20213 min read
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