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Bond Market Insights - Week Ending June 18th 2022
China Property remains under pressure, State owned continue to buy land, Fosun trips up after Moody's put on review for downgrade.
Jun 18, 20222 min read


Blue Horseshoe Loves 75bp
The leak to the Wall Street Journal was on Monday ahead of the June FOMC was on the money. The FOMC hiked the funds rate by 75 basis points
Jun 16, 20222 min read


Backdraft
The prevailing bias on short term interest rates ahead of the June FOMC meeting tonight clearly has a hawkish skew. Of course, only a “10 ye
Jun 15, 20223 min read


The Evisceration Phase
A key element of our process is to assess whether a price episode is an emotional overreaction or a genuine response to a shift in fundament
Jun 14, 20223 min read


Hail Storm
An important question investors should always ask is; “what is your quarrel with price?” From our perch, the reaction to the US data on Frid
Jun 13, 20222 min read


Like a Wrecking Ball
The impulsive rally in the US dollar over the past year has once again highlighted its role as a wrecking ball for risk assets. To be fair,
Jun 9, 20223 min read


On the Brink of Demand Destruction
An observation we made late last year prior to the conflict in Ukraine was that the arithmetic of energy was fairly straightforward. Resourc
Jun 7, 20222 min read


Mr. Justified
From our perch, Friday’s US employment report didn’t really change perceptions on the state of the US economy. While there was some evidence
Jun 6, 20222 min read


Don't Say The Quiet Part Out Loud
Earlier this year the monthly US employment report was significant as a key input for the Fed’s reaction function and short term interest ra
Jun 2, 20222 min read


Taming the Hurricane
It is an obvious point, but volatility is a derivative of price itself. From our perch, there has been a notable moderation in bond and swap
May 31, 20222 min read


Bond Market Insights, Week Ending May 29 2022
China HY impacted by Greenland, China IG steady. India's UPL gets looses IG status, Pakistan raises fuel prices to please the IMF.
May 29, 20222 min read


The Flightless Bird
Something that caught our eye this week was the policy action by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to hike the official cash rate by 50 basis
May 27, 20223 min read
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