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Appetite for (Self) Destruction
The lead guitarist of Guns N’ Roses has been described as a “train-wreck within a train wreck.” Nonetheless, Slash is likely one of the grea
Feb 7, 20223 min read


Face-Plant: And the Implication for Trend Returns
Earlier this week we noted that according to chaos theory, the edge of chaos with maximum complexity exists between paradigm shifts. Followi
Feb 4, 20223 min read


The Sigh of the Tiger
On Monday we suggested that there is an uncomfortable parallel with the market correction in the fourth quarter of 2018. That correction was
Feb 3, 20223 min read


Like a Tiger.
From our humble understanding of the Zodiac, the Tiger is a symbol of strength and bravery. Those traits will likely be needed for investors
Jan 31, 20223 min read


Showdown on the Slowdown
An observation that we have frequently made is that the policy error in this cycle and the QE regime has not been tightening too early, but
Jan 28, 20223 min read


Too Fast, Too Furious
It is always important how price responds to news. While the initial reaction to the January FOMC statement was relatively calm, the price a
Jan 27, 20223 min read


The Strike Price of the Fed Put
The price action on Monday in the US session was rapid and emotional. It appeared cathartic to a degree given the very large volume and the
Jan 26, 20222 min read


I Would Do Anything for Dove (But I won't sell that...)
From our perch, market sentiment and consensus beliefs edged closer to outright panic or capitulation on Friday in the United States. While
Jan 24, 20223 min read


Un-BEAR-able
From our perch, today is not the day to turn bearish on equity despite the ugly close in the United States. The time to do that was in late
Jan 21, 20223 min read


The Correlated Shock
A question we often ask is; “what is your quarrel with price?” In our humble opinion markets are not efficient in a macro (or micro) sense b
Jan 20, 20222 min read


Terminal Velocity?
Earlier this week we highlighted that a key element of a behavioural episode is when market participants become focussed on a single story.
Jan 19, 20223 min read


The China Pivot
From our humble perch, China’s policymakers pivoted at the start of December to support growth. So far, the changes have been incremental (c
Jan 18, 20222 min read
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